Archive December 2025
This is an archive of articles that Lincoln Cannon published in December 2025. An annual archive for 2025 is available. And a full archive of all articles that Lincoln has published since 2005 is also available. You may also search for articles and other content that Lincoln has published on any of his websites.
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Financial Nihilism Strengthens Crypto
Every few months, cryptocurrency cycles through yet another bout of financial nihilism. Tokens surge and collapse. New forms of leverage spawn like digital fungi. Degens perform their rituals of glorious self-immolation. Critics claim the entire ecosystem is a casino built on delusion and fraud. Insiders shrug and continue experimenting, as ... -
Bayesian Generalized Simulation Argument and Calculator
I’ve composed a Bayesian formulation of the generalized Simulation Argument. To help guide you through it, I construct the formulation step by step, beginning with Nick Bostrom’s popular formulation of the standard Simulation Argument, and proceeding through Brian Eggleston’s and my own refinements to the argument. Finally, I generalize a ... -
Embody Christmas
When Christmas returns, I feel drawn to its Earthy images: a child swaddled and cradled in a manger; a stable crafted of stout wood; the lowing of animals; warmth pushing back against the depth of winter. These are more than speculative historical details. They are symbols that affirm the realization ... -
Predicting Future Church Presidents
Jeffrey R. Holland, president of the Quorum of the Twelve Apostles of The Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints, died early in the morning on Saturday 27 December 2025. Those who follow my occasional thoughts on general conference may recognize that he was among my favorite Church leaders. I’m ...